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Joined 7 months ago
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Cake day: April 4th, 2026

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  • I keep writing and deleting this same post a lot, because there’re so many facets to it, but I swear it’s not really that complicated once you understand how much of it is about tax efficiency. It turns out that answering the question you asked is the best place to start: “tips on starting.”

    Tips:

    • Pick a brokerage that isn’t Robinhood. Fidelity, Charles Schwab, and Vanguard are big names with zero trading fees; Schwab probably has the best user interface since they got ThinkOrSwim when they bought TD Ameritrade.
    • Get comfortable with the idea that you’ll want to do direct bank ACH transfers to your accounts with the brokerage. You should at least have a normal brokerage account that doesn’t have tax advantages or rules, and a Roth IRA.
    • Learn about Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). You can buy shares of $VOO (if I use a dollar sign it means it’s a stock “ticker symbol”) and get a slice of the entire S&P 500. A share of $VT buys a slice of (one of Vanguard’s interpretations of) the entire world market. You can be diversified with just one fund.
    • Find good websites to research. Bogleheads is a good one that I like. $RDDT had several subreddits that looked at the topic from all different aspects, but now that’s just another thing they’ve stolen from the world.1
    • Ask questions if you have them and find good websites to research. Most of the buy-it-and-hold crowd’s advice won’t have changed at all across decades (that strategy is where you buy the stock, and then hold it), but search engines tend to push newer websites, and it’s kind of pointless to set up a new website that just always says to buy and hold.



    Some links:



    [1] Since we know they do marketing campaigns that will push certain topics/movies/whatever if they’re paid to, AND we know they have carte blanche with shadow bans/hiding posts/etc, has anyone done any analysis to see if they’re being paid to push certain stocks in whatever tattered remains are left over from their investing forums? I guess you’d have to pay them for access to scan their comments now with any kind of speed, and I’ll also guess you wouldn’t be able to buy a product from them that would prove they’re doing it.


  • We could put a lot of nicer groceries up front and hope nobody looks deeper!

    But then what happens if someone notices we’re selling a lot of fridges? They could buy insurance on the price of our fridges (options), and that wouldn’t be good because we know the price is going down, that’s why we’re selling them (duh). So we’ll have to sneak all these things out the door and hope nobody looks or notices until we’ve got them all sold.

    I guess that’s kind of a rough metaphor, but that stuff all still goes on. The math that tells you when to sell the fridge is where all the real value is.


  • Like the article says, their internal risk management models are telling them to get the risk off their books.

    Taking on the debt in the first place is like agreeing to store a gallon of milk in a fridge for an undetermined amount of time. The milk is going to go bad, and when it does the jug (or bag) might explode forcing a cleanout of the fridge, throwing out other things in the fridge, and maybe replacing the fridge altogether if the milk leaked down into a lot of crevices. Everyone knows the milk will go bad, but the big banks will know how old the fridge is, what coolant it uses, how old the compressor is, how many times a day the fridge has been opened, the average time it stays open, the dairy the cow who produced the milk, and the name of the cow if they can get it. The milk is going bad quicker than expected, and they’re finding out they don’t want to be the ones to guess when the jug will explode, and they’re also finding out that nobody else wants to buy the jug.

    Oracle pulling a “god did it” was probably a part of this, but nobody involved is going to give a real answer.